The Council of Mortgage Lenders has reported that 1.44per cent of mortgages were at least three months in arrears as at the end of September 2008.
This was up from 1.33 per cent at the end of June. The number of cases in arrears at the end of September was 168,000, eight per cent higher than the 155,600 at the end of June. Unsurprisingly in a worsening economy, the number of households in arrears by the end of the year is likely to exceed the previous forecast of 170,000.
The CML also reports that 0.1 per cent of all mortgaged properties were repossessed in the third quarter of 2008, up slightly from 0.09 per cent in the second quarter. By number, this equates to 11,300, 12 per cent higher than the 10,100 in the second quarter. The CML continues to expect the total number of repossessions this year to be around 45,000, as forecast in October 2007.
Buy-to-let mortgages have in the past shown better performance than the overall market in terms of payment profile. But in the third quarter the payment profile of buy-to-let lending has worsened more rapidly than the market as a whole.
Reasons include falling rents and an over-supply of rental property in some areas, resulting in some landlords being unable to let their property or achieve high enough rents to support their borrowing commitments. Fraud is also likely to have been a contributory factor.
At the end of September, 1.58 per cent of buy-to-let loans were in arrears (up from 1.10 per cent at the end of June), compared with 1.44 per cent of all mortgages. The number of buy-to-let mortgages taken into possession in the third quarter was 900, the same as in the first and second quarters of the year, representing 0.08 per cent of all buy-to-let mortgages (compared with 0.1 per cent across the mortgage market as a whole).
Commenting on the latest data, CML director general Michael Coogan said:
“The CML and lenders are absolutely committed to ensuring that repossession is only ever a last resort. Most borrowers who face payment problems successfully keep their home by working with their lender – anyone worried about mortgage payments should contact their lender at the earliest opportunity, before arrears start to build up.
“The government has taken some helpful steps towards targeted support for some of the most vulnerable households, but with a worsening economy now needs to make it a priority to go further. Increased help with housing costs is needed for a wider range of borrowers facing unforeseen repayment difficulties where there would otherwise be little prospect of early improvement.
“Looking ahead, conditions in the wider economy suggest a worsening picture for mortgage arrears, however carefully lenders handle their treatment of borrowers in difficulty. But while lenders cannot change the underlying causes of financial difficulty, such as unemployment, they can make sure that their response to borrowers is constructive and seeks to avoid repossession wherever other solutions can be found.
“That is what lenders are doing, meaning that the number of repossessions is likely to be contained to the levels we forecast at the beginning of the year, despite the worsening in economic and funding conditions through the year. We and our members are continuing to look at every possible way of minimising repossessions, consistent with considerations of the borrower’s financial prospects.”
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